I have a name, but my worshipers must not utter it (![[info]](http://l-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} letsburn00) wrote,@ 2009-06-16 13:22:00 |
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On why Obama is quiet on Iran
The reason why Obama and the US are currently being relatively quiet on the issue of Iran is actually pretty simple. Iran's power group likes to claim that anyone who is against them must be getting their funding and ideology from outside the country(which is a fair cop, given the bad shit that the west was getting up to in iran in the period prior to the late 70's). Obama and co understand this and realise that if they start making a big noise about the Iran's elections being faked then the religious folk who run Iran can say "look at that! Told you, the US is a supporter of these troublemakers!".
Obama and co want to make Iran at least be open with the US, and really don't want the israeli's to bomb the Iranians nuclear facilities because that will just cause a shitstorm and derail Obama's attempt to get israel to pull back from the occupied territories over the next decade (yes, it'll take that long at the very least). If Iran really is just making uranium for the purpose of making energy, then some very basic monitoring of it's reactors and enrichment facilities will confirm this(a truly civilian nuclear reactor makes plutonium that is extremely difficult to turn into weapons, and the weapons that it can make are almost useless from a truly military perspective, which is why North korea still can't produce a nuclear weapon that even approaches the yield that the US had in 1945). This is what Mousavi claims he'll do if elected. Since Iran absolutely should develop nuclear power for energy use (as should most countries that base themselves on cheap energy, especially in a world with plug in hybrids) this would be a viable outcome. That said, I seriously doubt his odds of turning Iran's policy, even if he was elected and all this mess was over tomorrow.
That all said, I don't know enough about Iran's political system to say whether Ahmadinejad would have won the election or not without some vote tampering. It's possible that the Election was similar to the one Russia had a year ago, where the incumbant would have won anyway but they just decided to make doubly sure. But either way, thats the basics of why Obama and co are just "worried about the violence" and other similar comments.
The reason why Obama and the US are currently being relatively quiet on the issue of Iran is actually pretty simple. Iran's power group likes to claim that anyone who is against them must be getting their funding and ideology from outside the country(which is a fair cop, given the bad shit that the west was getting up to in iran in the period prior to the late 70's). Obama and co understand this and realise that if they start making a big noise about the Iran's elections being faked then the religious folk who run Iran can say "look at that! Told you, the US is a supporter of these troublemakers!".
Obama and co want to make Iran at least be open with the US, and really don't want the israeli's to bomb the Iranians nuclear facilities because that will just cause a shitstorm and derail Obama's attempt to get israel to pull back from the occupied territories over the next decade (yes, it'll take that long at the very least). If Iran really is just making uranium for the purpose of making energy, then some very basic monitoring of it's reactors and enrichment facilities will confirm this(a truly civilian nuclear reactor makes plutonium that is extremely difficult to turn into weapons, and the weapons that it can make are almost useless from a truly military perspective, which is why North korea still can't produce a nuclear weapon that even approaches the yield that the US had in 1945). This is what Mousavi claims he'll do if elected. Since Iran absolutely should develop nuclear power for energy use (as should most countries that base themselves on cheap energy, especially in a world with plug in hybrids) this would be a viable outcome. That said, I seriously doubt his odds of turning Iran's policy, even if he was elected and all this mess was over tomorrow.
That all said, I don't know enough about Iran's political system to say whether Ahmadinejad would have won the election or not without some vote tampering. It's possible that the Election was similar to the one Russia had a year ago, where the incumbant would have won anyway but they just decided to make doubly sure. But either way, thats the basics of why Obama and co are just "worried about the violence" and other similar comments.
